Chart Analysis · Lesson 22 · Advanced
Continuation and bilateral patterns: the profile library
You can recognize triangles, wedges, flags and channels and trade them via breakout, volume and retest, with a clear eye on the false-breakout risk.
With a free account: interactive chart exercises, quizzes with answers, progress and XP.
Consolidation and its forms
This library collects the continuation and bilateral patterns as profiles. They are consolidations from which price mostly breaks out in the direction of the prior trend. You learn the principle and the measure logic in ct-continuation-muster, here it is about recognizing and trading them.
The trade rule is similar across all patterns: wait for the close out of the pattern, demand a rise in volume and use the retest of the broken edge as a second chance. Never buy during the formation.
Interactive exercise: here you learn right on the chart, with feedback on every click. Sign up freeto start it.
Flat upper edge, rising lows. The ascending triangle usually breaks out upward. Entry on the close above the flat upper edge with volume, stop below the last rising low. A break without volume is suspect.
Interactive exercise: here you learn right on the chart, with feedback on every click. Sign up freeto start it.
The mirror image: flat lower edge, falling highs, usually a break downward. Entry on the close below the flat lower edge, stop above the last falling high. Here too, volume confirms the break.
Interactive exercise: here you learn right on the chart, with feedback on every click. Sign up freeto start it.
Falling highs and rising lows converge toward an apex. The symmetrical triangle is bilateral, it does not dictate the direction itself but mostly follows the prior trend. The breakout typically comes before the apex is reached. Only trade the close out of the triangle.
Interactive exercise: here you learn right on the chart, with feedback on every click. Sign up freeto start it.
The falling wedge drops with converging lines and is predominantly bullish, often the consolidation within an uptrend. Entry on the close above the upper wedge line with volume. Wedges belong overall to the less reliable patterns, be strict with the confirmation.
Interactive exercise: here you learn right on the chart, with feedback on every click. Sign up freeto start it.
The rising wedge climbs with converging lines and is predominantly bearish, even though it points upward. That is exactly what makes it tricky: the shape looks bullish, but the break mostly comes downward. Wait for the close below the lower line before you short it.
Interactive exercise: here you learn right on the chart, with feedback on every click. Sign up freeto start it.
A short consolidation, slightly tilted against the trend, after a steep rise. Volume dries up in the flag and rises again at the breakout. Entry on the close out of the flag, target the half of the prior rise (half-staff), stop below the flag.
Interactive exercise: here you learn right on the chart, with feedback on every click. Sign up freeto start it.
The bearish counterpart after a steep sell-off: a short consolidation, slightly tilted against the trend, then a break downward. Entry on the close out of the flag, stop above the flag, target likewise the half of the prior sell-off.
Interactive exercise: here you learn right on the chart, with feedback on every click. Sign up freeto start it.
The pennant is the triangular sister of the flag: a tiny symmetrical consolidation after a strong impulse. The trade logic is the same as for the flag, breakout with volume and half-staff target. The pennant is short-lived, if you miss the breakout the move is often already over.
Interactive exercise: here you learn right on the chart, with feedback on every click. Sign up freeto start it.
The rectangle is a clean range between horizontal support and resistance. You can trade the edges or wait for the breakout. As a continuation pattern it usually breaks in the trend direction. The target is the height of the rectangle, projected from the broken edge.
Interactive exercise: here you learn right on the chart, with feedback on every click. Sign up freeto start it.
The price channel is two parallel trend lines between which price runs. As long as the channel holds, you trade the move from edge to edge in the trend direction. The break out of the channel on a close is the signal for an end or an acceleration of the trend.
Test yourself
A rising wedge forms and points upward. In which direction does it usually break out?
- Downward, the rising wedge is predominantly bearish
- Upward, since it points upward
A breakout from a symmetrical triangle happens on weak volume. How do you rate it?
- Suspect, without volume a false breakout is more likely
- Fully tradable, volume does not matter
Sign up free for the answers with an explanation for each option.
The key points at a glance
- The principle of continuation patterns is in ct-continuation-muster, this is the recognition catalog.
- The trigger is the close out of the pattern with a rise in volume, the retest of the broken edge confirms it.
- Many breakouts are false breakouts, how you deal with that is in ct-false-breakouts.
Deep dive
Which direction does each pattern really break?
Remember the basic rule: converging rising lines are bearish, converging falling lines are bullish. Anyone who only looks at the visual slope trades wedges systematically the wrong way round.
- Ascending triangle: around 70 percent break upward.
- Falling wedge: about 68 percent break upward, even though it falls.
- Symmetrical triangle: only 54 percent follow the trend, wait for the close.
- Rising wedge: usually breaks down, down failure rate around 24 percent.
Spotting a false breakout: the key signals
Bulkowski's busted patterns often perform better than clean breakouts: those who were trapped have to get out, and that pressure drives the counter-move. So a false break is not just an annoyance, it is a setup in its own right.
- Volume: a real breakout comes with a clear increase.
- Close: only a closing price beyond the edge counts.
- Retest: if the edge holds, the break is confirmed.
- Congestion: dense old highs behind the edge choke the break off.
Flags and pennants: the half-staff target
Flags and pennants are very reliable, with failure rates often as low as 2 to 4 percent. The High and Tight Flag reached a 0 percent failure rate and around a 69 percent gain in the data. But the move afterwards is only about half as large as the one before.
- Only 47 to 64 percent reach the full target, so take partial profits.
- Pennants are short-lived, a late entry carries a poor risk-reward ratio.
- Trade with the higher-timeframe trend, do not chase a flag you missed.
Sources: Bulkowski, Thomas: Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, TradingFace: Technical and Graphical Analysis, Murphy
Make this lesson interactive
Sign up for free and learn with click exercises right on the chart, quizzes with explanations and saved progress. Then you practice everything risk free on the demo exchange.
100% free, no payment details.