Understanding Crypto · Lesson 8 · Beginner

Network Value: the Unit Price Lies

You compare assets by network value instead of unit price and avoid the cheap-because-lower-price fallacy.

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Price Times Quantity

Network value equals price per coin times circulating coins. It is the anchor for all valuation ratios, the counterpart to a stock's market capitalization.

The unit price alone lies: at the same network value but four times as many coins, one coin is worth only a quarter. DENT with 100 billion tokens has a low unit price and is still not cheap.

Coin A cheap per unit, many coins. Coin B expensive, few coins.

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Test yourself

Coin X costs 0.50 USD, Coin Y costs 60,000 USD. Which is cheaper?

  • You cannot tell from the unit price
  • Coin X, because it is cheaper per unit

Coin A and Coin B have the same network value, Coin A has four times as many coins. How do the unit prices compare?

  • Coin A costs a quarter of Coin B per unit
  • Same unit price

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The key points at a glance

  • Network value is price per coin times circulating coins, the crypto counterpart to market capitalization.
  • A low unit price does not mean cheap.
  • Network value alone says nothing about over- or undervaluation.

Deep dive

Why a coin at 0.50 USD is not cheap

The most common beginner mistake is looking at the unit price. A coin at 0.50 USD looks cheap next to BTC at 60000 USD, but that tells you nothing until you know the circulating supply. The relevant figure is network value: price per coin times circulating coins.

  • litecoin converges toward roughly 84 million, bitcoin toward 21 million.
  • At the same network value one litecoin would be worth only a quarter of one bitcoin.
  • DENT has roughly 100 billion units and still a high network value.
  • 'Cheap per unit' and 'cheaply valued' are two different statements.

The formula against the unit-price fallacy

At the same network value, circulating supply alone determines the unit price. A low price per coin is the logical result of large supply, not a discount.

That is exactly what the marketing targets: '0.001 USD' sparks the fantasy 'what if this hits 1 USD one day'. Do the math against it. 1 USD at 100 billion coins would be a network value of 100 billion USD, a scale reached by only a handful of assets worldwide.

What network value does NOT tell you

Network value is the anchor for any comparison, but not a valuation verdict. It tells you how large a network is, not whether it is expensive. For over- or undervalued you need the relation to on-chain activity, such as NVT.

  • Always compare 'cheap' or 'expensive' via network value, never via unit price.
  • Small network values are prone to pumps and manipulation.
  • bitcoin was in the low tens of billions during Burniske's era.
  • Today it is in the trillions, with increased correlation to the Nasdaq and interest rates.

Sources: Burniske/Tatar, Goodman

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