Strategies · Lesson 20 · Advanced
Set and forget: plan, place, leave alone
You plan a swing trade completely before the entry, place the stop and target as fixed orders, and then let the trade work without touching the rules inside the running trade.
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The core problem: you never take profits
This is how a trader who lived through it himself describes it: in the trade you constantly think I will take profits soon, but I will let it run a bit more. And in the end you never take profits, because there always seems to be more in it. Or the other way around: the trade runs against you, and you push the stop a bit further away, just this one time. Both reflexes come from the same place, the open trade, where the emotion is loudest.
Set and forget flips that around. Stop and target are determined BEFORE the entry, the trade is placed, and then you let it work in peace. You make each decision once, while your mind is neutral. After that only the plan executes, not the impulse. That is not magic, but a mechanical answer to loss aversion: the painful decisions are already made before the pain even arises.
Step 1: top-down from big to small
Start with the big picture: weekly, then daily, then 4h. At least two neighboring timeframes must point in the same direction, otherwise hands off. If the weekly points up and the daily down, the market is undecided, and you have no trade.
Read the structure via the body closes, not via the wicks. An uptrend is higher highs and higher lows on a close basis, a downtrend lower lows and lower highs. Wicks are noise and liquidity grabs, the closes show where the market really shut.
Step 2: AOIs, your areas of interest
An AOI is a support or resistance zone on the daily or weekly at which price has reacted several times in the past. It is valid from at least three body touches. Draw it as a narrow zone (rectangle), not as a line to the cent, because the market reacts at areas, not at exact prices.
The hard rule: no trade if price is not at an AOI. In the middle of nowhere, far from any zone, there is no set and forget. You wait until price comes to your prepared zone. Mark such a zone in the following chart to train your eye for it.
Mark an area of interest with at least three body touches as a narrow zone.
Interactive exercise: here you learn right on the chart, with feedback on every click. Sign up freeto start it.
Step 3: confirmation at the AOI
That price is at the zone is not enough yet. You wait for a candle signal right at the AOI: an engulfing, a pin bar or an inside bar that closes in trade direction after the break. Plus the confluence with an EMA, say the 20 or 50, that supports at the same spot.
Without confirmation no entry. A zone alone is a guess, the candle signal at the zone is the trigger. That filters out the cases where price simply slices straight through the zone.
Step 4: execution and then close the charts
The stop goes to the point at which your idea is disproven, that is below the zone or below the swing low that carries the entry. From there it is never moved back. The target (TP) sits at the next zone or structure, with an R/R of at least 2 to 1, better 3 to 1.
You calculate the position size backwards from the stop: account risk 1 to 2 percent divided by the stop distance gives the quantity. Leverage does not appear in this calculation. Then: place the entry order, stop order and TP order as fixed orders, set alerts at the relevant zones and close the charts. From here the trade works, not you.
Try it through: a complete set-and-forget trade
The following simulator walks you through exactly this sequence: check direction, find the zone, wait for confirmation, set stop and target, place it and then do not touch it anymore. Pay special attention to the moment when the trade runs against you and the reflex comes to move the stop. That is exactly where set and forget is decided.
Plan the trade completely before the entry, place it and then let it work in peace.
Interactive exercise: here you learn right on the chart, with feedback on every click. Sign up freeto start it.
Quality over quantity
Set and forget lives on patience. One to two clean trades per week are plenty, more is usually overtrading. You wait until everything comes together: direction on two timeframes, price at the AOI, confirmation, good R/R.
Missed a trade because you were not at the screen? No problem. The coin goes on the watchlist, you set an alert at the zone and wait for the pullback, instead of jumping in mid-move. Chasing a move that has already run is exactly the opposite of set and forget.
Honest limits
Set and forget fits swing approaches on higher timeframes (daily, 4h), not scalping. Whoever wants to catch every twitch on the minute chart is in the wrong place here.
News spikes can rip out your stop before the idea even had a chance. And in the 24/7 crypto market price also runs at night while you sleep. That is exactly why the pre-set, fixed stop here is not a nice-to-have but half the battle. A mental stop does not protect you at night.
Test yourself
When are you allowed to change your set-and-forget strategy?
- In the weekly review based on the journal, when a sample of 20 or more trades shows that it does not work
- Immediately in the running trade, when it goes against you
- After the first loss, then it is disproven
The weekly shows higher highs, but the daily is clearly making lower lows. What do you do?
- No trade, at least two neighboring timeframes must point in the same direction
- Long, the weekly is the more important timeframe
- Short, because the daily spoke last
Your long is running against you toward the stop, and you think about pulling the stop a bit lower, just this one time. What is right?
- The stop stays where it is, it marks the point at which the idea is disproven
- Pull the stop lower, the trade just needs a bit more room
- Buy more to lower the average entry
You were not at the screen and missed a clean entry at your AOI, price has already run far. What do you do?
- Onto the watchlist, alert at the zone, wait for the pullback
- Get in now with a market order, otherwise the train is gone
Sign up free for the answers with an explanation for each option.
The key points at a glance
- Stop and target are fixed as numbers before the order goes out. The plan decides, not the emotion in the trade.
- Only trade when at least two neighboring timeframes point in the same direction and price is at an AOI.
- The stop is never moved back. It marks the point at which the idea is disproven.
- Adjustments happen in the weekly review based on the journal, never in an open trade.
Deep dive
Why do you cut winners short and let losers run?
Van K. Tharp describes the core mistake this way: most people are risk-averse in profit and risk-seeking in loss. In profit you want to lock in fast, in loss you hope for the turn.
The result is cut profits short, let losses run, the exact opposite of what works. Set and Forget is the mechanical answer: you make the decisions before the pain arises.
How do you set stop and target correctly before you place the trade?
The stop belongs at the point where your idea is invalidated, below the swing low. You size the position backwards from the stop, never the other way around.
- Think of stop distance in ATR: 1x to 2x ATR is Goodman's range.
- 0.5x ATR produces many stop-outs, 3x to 4x means larger single losses.
- At most 1 percent risk per trade, based on the amount down to the stop.
- Example: 10,000 dollar account, 100 dollar risk, 17 dollar stop, so 5 units.
- Target at the next structure, reward-to-risk at least 1 to 2, better 1 to 3.
Why is patience the real edge in swing trading?
Set and Forget thrives on doing almost nothing. Jim Rogers waits until money is lying in the corner and makes three to five decisions per year. For you that means one to two clean trades per week.
The most common beginner mistake is chasing: Goodman calls compulsive re-entry 'death by a thousand cuts'. If you miss an entry, the coin goes on the watchlist and you wait for the pullback.
R/R (reward-to-risk ratio) = potential profit target divided by planned risk. 2:1 means: double the reward against the risk.
Confluence = several independent signals that say the same thing in the same place (e.g. zone plus EMA plus candle signal).
Sources: Alex G (Swing Trading Lab): Forex Swing Mastery; Full Set and Forget Strategy; Douglas, Mark: Trading in the Zone; Elder, Alexander: The New Trading for a Living
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